Foreign policy rarely swings presidential elections.

"Despite these polls and the passions raised by the war with Hamas, it is easy to exaggerate the power of Gaza as a motivating issue for voters eight months from no-win November. History suggests that foreign policy issues end up as a minor motif in presidential politics unless American soldiers are dying in combat as they were in Iraq and Afghanistan in 2004.”

  • givesomefucks@lemmy.worldEnglish
    2313·
    4 months ago

    In 2020, Biden carried four swing states by less than 2 percent: Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. If the 2024 election were again agonizingly close, would-be Biden voters infuriated by Israel’s conduct in Gaza could make a difference by staying home or opting for a third-party candidate. But the same is true for other issues that arouse passions like guns, immigration, and abortion.

    Lol…

    So the author admits Biden is dangerously close to losing, but he doesn’t think Gaza matters because lots of other issues could lose the election…

    So he thinks we should just ignore all the issues and plow ahead with a candidate we all know could easily lose.

    • Zaktor@sopuli.xyzEnglish
      4·
      4 months ago

      This sort of article isn’t meant to be political analysis, it’s meant to make people feel good so they’ll click on it and be told “you don’t have to worry”. People like to be reassured that they don’t need to think about things that make them uncomfortable.

      No one running a political campaign ever thought “you know what we need, our voters to worry less about the election”.